Russia-Ukraine crisis shakes Indian markets, poses threat to financial stability - Business Guardian
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Russia-Ukraine crisis shakes Indian markets, poses threat to financial stability

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Russia-Ukraine conflict rattled the Indian equities markets on Thursday with key indices crashing by nearly five per cent, erasing over Rs 13 lakh crore of investors’ wealth in a day. Extreme volatility was witnessed in all asset classes in India after Russian President Vladimir Putin authorised military troops to carry out attacks against Ukraine.

Oil price soared to over $105 a barrel, the highest level in nearly eight years in the international markets.
In the currency market, the Indian rupee plunged 102 paise to end at 75.63 against a US dollar.
The Indian stock market’s benchmark Sensex crashed 2,702 points or 4.72 per cent. This is the fourth-worst fall ever in an absolute term in the Sensex. The index suffered a loss of 2,850 points in the intra-day.
The broader Nifty 50 of the National Stock Exchange dipped 815.30 points or 4.78 per cent to 16,247.95 points.
This led to massive erosion in the investors’ wealth. The market capitalisation of the BSE-listed companies dipped to Rs 242.24 lakh crore. It suffered a loss of nearly Rs 13 lakh crore in a day.

Investors tried to take refuge in bullion. Gold price surged by nearly 3 per cent to Rs 51,750 per 10 gram while silver price soared by over 3 per cent to Rs 66,556 per kg at the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) in Mumbai. This is the highest level of gold and silver price in more than a year. Gold and silver prices have surged by more than 8 per cent so far this month.
In the international market, spot gold price surged by 1.9 per cent to $1,943.86 per ounce, the highest level since January 2021. US gold futures jumped by nearly 2 per cent to $1,949.20 per ounce.

Stock markets are bleeding across the world after Russia’s military action in Ukraine.
While the Indian stocks and commodities markets have already felt the tremors, the conflict in the Russia-Ukraine region is set to have huge implications on India’s financial stability.

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said on Tuesday the rising crude oil prices amid escalating Ukraine-Russia tensions pose threat to India’s financial stability and the government is closely monitoring the situation.
“It is difficult to say how it will go. Even today, in the FSDC, when we were looking at the challenges which are posed for the financial stability, crude was one of the things,” Sitharaman said after chairing a meeting of the Financial Stability and Development Council (FSDC) in Mumbai.
One matter of comfort is that India buys very little oil and gas from Russia. Less than one per cent of Russia’s crude oil exports come to India. So, no immediate disruption in supply of fossil fuel is expected.
However, the disruptions in supplies from Russia will further push the crude oil prices in the international markets. This will severely disrupt India’s financial calculations.

According to former Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan, the impact of the Russia-Ukraine crisis would not be limited to just oil and gas. It will impact various other essential commodities.
Apart from fossil fuels, India is also heavily dependent on imports to meet the demands for edible oil. The conflict in the Russia-Ukraine region is also likely to lead to a significant jump in edible oil prices in the international markets.
This will widen India’s trade deficit and worsen inflationary pressure.
High crude oil and other commodities prices will upset the government’s Budget math, presented in Parliament by Finance Minister Sitharaman on February 1, 2022.

The Economic Survey has assumed crude-oil prices at $70-75 per barrel. The budget calculations are based on this. If the oil price remains above $100 a barrel, it will considerably upset the Budget math, be it financial and revenue deficits, inflation or GDP growth.
JPMorgan Chase & Co earlier this week had said that the oil prices are likely to average $110 a barrel in the second quarter 2022 calendar year due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The bank had further said that the crude market is likely to see sustained higher prices in the next quarter, before retreating to an average of $90 at the end of the year.

According to brokerage firm ICICI Securities, the Russia-Ukraine conflict will have two-fold impacts on the Indian economy. “Higher crude oil prices will keep CPI inflation higher for longer, obliging the RBI to raise rates more than the two hikes we expected in August-December 2022 unless the government sharply cuts excise duties on petrol and diesel to contain fuel inflation,” ICICI Securities said in a note. (ANI)

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‘Lanka faces worst economic crisis since 1948’

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Sri Lanka is facing its worst economic crisis since gaining independence from the British in 1948 which has triggered food shortages, soaring prices and power cuts. Many say the government is to blame. and in recent days, thousands of Sri Lankans have taken to the streets to demand the resignation of President Gotabaya Rajapaksa, reports the BBC. Sri Lanka’s problems come down to the fact that its foreign currency reserves have virtually run dry. It means the island nation cannot afford to pay for imports of staple foods and fuel, leading to acute shortages and very high prices. The government blames the pandemic, which all but killed off Sri Lanka’s tourist trade, one of the island’s biggest foreign currency earners, the BBC reported. It also says tourists were frightened off by a series of deadly bomb attacks on churches during the 2019 Easter Sunday attacks. However, many experts say economic mismanagement is to blame. There are many reasons for this, but one main factor is that at the end of its 30-year civil war in 2009, Sri Lanka chose to focus more on its domestic markets instead of exporting to foreign ones. So income from exports remained low, while the bill for imports kept growing. The government also racked up huge amounts of debt to fund what critics have called unnecessary infrastructure projects. At the end of 2019, Sri Lanka had $7.6 billion in foreign currency reserves, but by March 2020 it had only $2.3 billion. When he came to power in 2019, President Rajapaksa decided to cut taxes. This meant the government had less money to buy foreign currency on the international markets to increase its reserves. When Sri Lanka’s currency shortages became a really big problem in early 2021, the government tried to stop the outflow of foreign currency by banning all imports of chemical fertiliser, telling farmers to use organic fertilisers instead. This led to widespread crop failures, said the BBC report. Sri Lanka had to supplement its food stocks from abroad, which made its foreign currency shortage even worse. The economic crisis has deepened since last year, and one of the major reasons for this downfall is organic farming. The Sri Lankan government had banned the usage of chemical fertilisers in April 2021 in order to make farming environment friendly. There were protests by farmers who asked for a hybrid policy and some transition time

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WAR TO SLASH UKRAINE’S GDP OUTPUT BY 45%: WB

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Ukraine’s economic output will likely contract by a staggering 45.1% this year as Russia’s invasion has shuttered businesses, slashed exports and rendered economic activity impossible in large swaths of the country, the World Bank said on Sunday. The World Bank also forecast Russia’s 2022 GDP output to fall 11.2% due to punishing financial sanctions imposed by the United States and its Western allies on Russia’s banks, state-owned enterprises and other institutions.

The World Bank’s “War in the Region” economic update said the Eastern Europe region, comprising Ukraine, Belarus and Moldova, is forecast to show a GDP contraction of 30.7% this year, due to shocks from the war and disruption of trade. Growth in 2022 in the Central Europe region, comprising Bulgaria, Croatia, Hungary, Poland and Romania, will be cut to 3.5% from 4.7% previously due to the influx of refugees, higher commodity prices and deteriorating confidence hurting demand. For Ukraine, the World Bank report estimates that over half of the country’s businesses are closed, while others are operating at well under normal capacity. The closure of Black Sea shipping from Ukraine has cut off some 90% of the country’s grain exports and half of its total exports.

The World Bank said the war has rendered economic activity impossible in many areas, and is disrupting agricultural planting and harvest operations. Estimates of infrastructure damage exceeding $100 billion by early March – about two-thirds of Ukraine’s 2019 GDP – are well out of date “as the war has raged on and caused further damage.” The bank said the 45.1% contraction estimate excludes the impact of physical infrastructure destruction, but said this would scar future economic output, along with the outflow of Ukrainian refugees to other countries.

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Equity indices open in green, Sensex up by 873 points

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Equity benchmark indices opened in the green on Thursday with Sensex up by 873.74 points and Nifty up by 246.60 points.

At 9:21 am, the BSE Sensex was up by 873.74 points or 1.54 per cent at 57690.39.
The 50-scrip NSE Nifty was trading at 17221.90, at 9:21 am, up by 246.60 points or 1.45 per cent. (ANI)

 

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Creditors realise 221 per cent of liquidation value through insolvency resolution process

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Financial creditors realised 221 per cent of liquidation value and 51 per cent of admitted claims through the corporate insolvency resolution process, Union Minister of State for Finance Bhagwat Kisanrao Karad said on Tuesday.

In a written reply to a question in the Rajya Sabha, the minister noted that as per inputs received from the Ministry of Corporate Affairs (MCA), the corporate insolvency resolution process (CIRP) under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, 2016 (IBC), was initiated by banks in the 12 large accounts that were referred by the Reserved Bank of India.
Financial creditors had an aggregate outstanding claim of Rs 3.45 lakh crore against these corporate debtors. Out of these 12 corporate debtors, resolution plans have been approved in respect of eight corporate debtors, CIRP is ongoing in respect of two corporate debtors, and two corporate debtors are undergoing liquidation process.

With regard to resolution and settlement in these accounts, the eight corporate debtors, which were resolved through the market-driven CIRP, owed a total of Rs 2.26 lakh crore to financial creditors while their liquidation value was Rs 0.52 lakh crore, the minister said.

“Further, realisable value for financial creditors through the approved resolution plans was Rs. 1.16 lakh crore, which is 221 per cent of the liquidation value and 51 per cent of the admitted claims,” Karad added. (ANI)

 

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Birla Niyaara clocks record sales booking of Rs 1000 Cr

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Birla Niyaara, the flagship project of Birla Estates Pvt Ltd, has received an overwhelming response and recorded sales of INR 1000 crore booking value making it the most successful launch in MMR in the recent times. The 14-acre integrated development in Worli, South Mumbai’s most sought-after neighbourhood, has sold over 150 units till date in Phase 1.

Birla Niyaara is also one-of-a-kind in the luxury segment, being India’s only USGBC LEED pre-certified platinum residential project making it one of Worli’s landmark integrated developments.
KT Jithendran, CEO, Birla Estates said, “We are overwhelmed with the outstanding response for Birla Niyaara. The numbers, despite the 3rd wave of pandemic, is a testament to the strength of the Birla Brand as well as our philosophy of Life Designed that caters to consumer needs. Through Birla Niyaara, we promote sustainable living and offer an unrivalled lifestyle through best-in-class services, innovative amenities, and world-class design.”

The project is a mix of contemporary and modern high-rise living spaces, high-end retail, and fine office buildings, all imagined and designed by world-renowned architects Foster and Partners. Sasaki and Coopers Hill oversee the master planning and are detailing the landscape. The multi-tiered amenities, such as the hi-line experience, bespoke social, sports and children’s clubs, and a themed garden landscape, are specially curated wellbeing spaces that encourage people to live an active and healthy lifestyle.

Birla Estates currently has five residential developments spread across MMR, Bengaluru, and NCR region. They will be launching new projects in each of these markets soon.

This story is provided by BusinessWire India. ANI will not be responsible in any way for the content of this article. (ANI/BusinessWire India)

 

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Indian rupee weakens by 22 paise to 76.16 against US dollar

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Trade settlement with Russia in Rupee soon

The Indian rupee weakened by 22 paise to 76.16 against the US dollar on Friday as a sharp rise in crude oil prices amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict dampened investors’ sentiments.

At the interbank foreign currency market, the rupee opened the trade weak at 76.06 against the US dollar. It slipped to a low of 76.22 against the US dollar in the intra-day.
The rupee also touched a high of 75.99 against the US dollar in the intra-day.

The rupee ended the day at 76.16 against the US dollar, which is 22 paise down from its previous day’s close. (ANI)

 

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